International baseball ELO forecasts

Real-data baseline from ESPN's public baseball endpoints. Current scope is international baseball beyond MLB — the World Baseball Classic and the Caribbean Series, the two non-MLB competitions ESPN actually carries.

Completed games
74
Brier
0.225
Accuracy
63.5%

Latest rated games

United States 51.2% Venezuela
2026-03-18 · World Baseball Classic · final 2-3
Italy 48.5% Venezuela
2026-03-17 · World Baseball Classic · final 2-4
Dominican Republic 46.6% United States
2026-03-16 · World Baseball Classic · final 1-2
Japan 66.6% Venezuela
2026-03-15 · World Baseball Classic · final 5-8
Italy 52.4% Puerto Rico
2026-03-14 · World Baseball Classic · final 8-6
Canada 41.4% United States
2026-03-14 · World Baseball Classic · final 3-5
Dominican Republic 59.1% Korea
2026-03-13 · World Baseball Classic · final 10-0
Venezuela 57.1% Dominican Republic
2026-03-12 · World Baseball Classic · final 5-7

Top ELO ratings

  1. 1. Japan1819
  2. 2. Venezuela1806
  3. 3. United States1781
  4. 4. Dominican Republic1774
  5. 5. Mexico Rojo1766

Team names resolved from ESPN. ELO + Glicko model over completed games.